Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0

Author-Name: Matías Battocchio
Author-Workplace-Name: UBA y UNLP
 
Title: La ventaja del oficialismo en las elecciones municipales de la Provincia de Buenos Aires.

Abstract: This paper tests for an incumbency advantage in the municipal mayoral elections in  the  province  of  Buenos  Aires  between  1983  and  2015  by  making  use of  a  regression  discontinuity  design,  for  the  two  major  parties:  the  Partido Justicialista  and  the  Union  Civica  Radical.  The  results  suggest  that  the  UCR enjoyed an incumbency advantage in the order of a 20 percentage point increase in the probability of winning the next election, while for the PJ this estimate is smaller and non statistically significant.

Classification-JEL: P16; D72; C21
 
Keywords: Incumbency  advantage,  Regression  discontinuity  design,  Buenos
Aires politics.
Journal: Económica

Pages: 133-171
Volume: 64
Year: 2018
Month: January-December
File-URL: https://revistas.unlp.edu.ar/Economica/article/view/6136/5551
File-Format: Application/pdf
Handle: RePEc:akh:journl:617